AI carbon footprint in US South Central - Texas: emissions per token and per query

    Factor version soma-ai-ef-2026.10-dataset-v3.0.0. Last updated . Location-based grid averages, not renewable contracts. Estimates from published benchmarks.

    Part of the SOMA AI Emission Factors cluster.

    How much CO₂ does an AI query emit when served from US South Central - Texas?

    A 1210-token query to a class B model (gpt-4o) served from US South Central - Texas emits about 0.043 g CO₂e, and a million tokens emit 0.0312 kg CO₂e.

    Rank 12 of 16 for class B, lowest carbon first (full table). 4.4x the level of EU North - Sweden, Asia Pacific - Singapore is 1.3x higher.

    Which grid supplies the electricity in US South Central - Texas?

    US South Central - Texas maps to ERCOT All, a US eGRID subregion, at 375.3 g CO₂e per kWh for 2023. That is 1.6 times the EU-27 average (236 g) and 0.8 times the global average (483.2 g). The source is eGRID2023 ERCT 736.6 lb/MWh CO2e total output x 1.1232 (Ember lifecycle basis).

    Cloud regions on this grid, 2 in all (1 Azure, 1 Google Cloud).

    Grid ERCT.
    ProviderRegion idRegion nameLocationMapping confidenceMapping note
    AzuresouthcentralusSouth Central USTexashighProvider states state only; Texas spans ERCT/SPSO/SRMV/AZNM. San Antonio-area site assumed; polygon test at San Antonio (29.42,-98.49) = ERCT. CONFIRMED 2026-10-14 by Data Center Map (datacentermap.com, operator pages for Microsoft and Amazon AWS, read 14 October 2026): Microsoft SAT campus, San Antonio, and Castroville campus, Castroville TX (24 listings); polygon test at San Antonio (29.42,-98.49) and Castroville (29.36,-98.88) = ERCT; agrees with the assumed site, confidence raised from medium to high.
    Google Cloudus-south1us-south1Dallas, TexashighSubregion settled in paper (anchor). Polygon test at Dallas (32.78,-96.80) = ERCT.

    Which grids have an intensity close to ERCOT All?

    Closest grids to 375.3 g CO₂e per kWh, with the ratio to the ERCOT All figure.
    Difference gGridCodeg CO₂e per kWhRatio
    -2.5Tanzania, the United Republic ofTZA372.80.993
    2.6SERC Mississippi ValleySRMV377.91.007
    -11.7GermanyDEU363.60.969
    -15.4BelarusBLR359.90.959
    -15.5WECC SouthwestAZNM359.80.959
    17.1ZimbabweZWE392.41.046
    17.6United States of AmericaUSA392.91.047
    18.8ReunionREU394.11.050
    20.2EstoniaEST395.51.054
    -20.7RwandaRWA354.60.945

    Emission factors for US South Central - Texas by model class

    Per million tokens unless stated, per query = 1210 tokens.
    Model classElectricity kgHardware kgConstruction kgTraining kgTotal kg CO₂eg per queryWater LmL per query
    Class A (small)0.008170.000270.000140.000600.0090.0130.0320.045
    Class B (mid-size)0.026750.001010.000460.002930.0310.0430.1060.15
    Class C (frontier)0.099620.003880.001690.012840.1180.160.3930.54
    kg CO₂e per million tokens, development shown apart.
    Model classCentralClass range lowClass range highHigh caseB200Development
    Class A0.0091810.0057130.013260.014630.0080660.01114
    Class B0.031150.020280.037660.049020.022050.03648
    Class C0.1180.048010.17530.18460.12130.1359

    How much does siting matter for a model served from US South Central - Texas?

    Electricity is 85.9% of the class B total here (class A 89%, class C 84.4%), with hardware at 3.2%, construction 1.5% and training 9.4%. Electricity carries most of the 0.0312 kg, so the grid is the biggest lever.

    The example company (2,323 million class B tokens a year) emits 72 kg CO₂e from US South Central - Texas. Moving to EU Central - Germany would save 1.9 kg (2.7%) or US West - Oregon would save 8.5 kg (12%).

    Kilograms CO₂e a year saved by moving the example traffic from US South Central - Texas to each region, by model class.
    RegionGrid g per kWhClass AClass BClass C
    EU Central - Germany363.60.5911.947.21
    US West - Oregon323.72.618.5531.8

    How much water does AI usage consume in US South Central - Texas?

    A class B query of 1210 tokens from US South Central - Texas consumes about 0.15 mL of water and a million tokens 0.106 litres, or 0.1 litres without the water attributed to hydropower.

    Water inputs.
    InputValue
    On-site WUE, L per kWh0.292
    WUE denominatortotal site electricity
    WUE basis as publishedwithdrawal
    Withdrawal to consumption0.6667
    EWIF, L per kWh1.287
    EWIF without hydro, L per kWh1.213
    AWARE factor13.56
    Confidencederived-site
    SourceMicrosoft; San Antonio (TX) (site); FY25
    Water per million tokens in litres.
    Model classOn siteGrid electricityTotalTotal without hydroAWARE-weighted on site
    Class A0.004230.0280.03220.03060.0574
    Class B0.01390.09170.1060.10.188
    Class C0.05160.3420.3930.3740.7

    Where do these numbers come from and how do I cite them?

    Figures per query are one plain exchange, before the Tier 2b reasoning uplift. Electricity term. GPU energy per token from the ML.ENERGY Leaderboard v3, a facility overhead of 1.20, and grid carbon intensity from EPA eGRID 2023 and Ember 2023. Embodied hardware, data-centre construction and amortised training terms are documented on the methodology page. Water combines on-site cooling water (Li et al. 2025) with the water embedded in grid electricity (Reig et al. 2020). The modelled range of the models inside a class, around the class value, is −41% to +48% for class A, −39% to +24% for class B and −67% to +55% for class C.

    Dataset: AI Inference Emission and Resource Factors for Corporate GHG Inventories (SOMA AI Emission Factors (SAEF)), Llopis-Garcia, G., SOMA AI, 19 October 2026, CC BY 4.0, concept DOI 10.5281/zenodo.20443585, which resolves to the latest version (this version 10.5281/zenodo.23371447, earlier version 2 values at 10.5281/zenodo.22767475). Method: Accounting for Purchased AI Inference in Corporate GHG Inventories: A Token-Based Method, arXiv:2606.10660, under peer review.

    Partners can fetch any row from the AI factors API, and the whole table is a CSV download.

    Cite as "0.0312 kg CO₂e per million tokens, class B, US South Central - Texas, SAEF, 19 October 2026" and link somaai.earth/ai-footprint/factors/us-texas.

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